Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Larkin 52.2% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Jarnkrok
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
51.1% (915)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
48.2% (168)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Larkin
Home
63.2% (19)
51.7% (686)
Away
45.0% (20)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Larkin
P1
50.0%
52.5%
P2
66.7%
52.7%
P3
46.2%
51.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%