Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs McKegg 49.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 55.8%
Defensive zone
McKegg 61.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 53.5%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Last 9: Jarnkrok 5-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
3
Jarnkrok
McKegg
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
McKegg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
49.1% (1,143)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
50.0% (24)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
48.8% (86)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Home
50.5% (2,262)
50.4% (554)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Jarnkrok
McKegg
P1
47.7%
48.7%
P2
48.0%
49.9%
P3
48.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |