Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 55.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 53.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Last 8: Jarnkrok 4-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
52.6% (1,124)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
58.4% (344)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
49.2% (193)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Home
53.0% (281)
55.5% (816)
Away
48.4% (186)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
P1
51.6%
51.1%
P2
50.6%
51.6%
P3
51.5%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |