Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Couture 48.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 52.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 78.7%
Neutral zone
Couture 57.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Jarnkrok
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jarnkrok
Couture
Last 8: Jarnkrok 3-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Jarnkrok
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
48.7% (986)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
58.5% (94)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
44.1% (195)
-0.6%
On power play, Couture has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Couture
Home
53.0% (281)
47.2% (625)
Away
48.4% (186)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Couture
P1
51.6%
46.8%
P2
50.6%
49.8%
P3
51.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |