Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.7%). Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Jankowski 53.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 60.8%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 53.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Jarnkrok
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
53.7% (555)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
54.3% (46)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Jankowski
Home
63.2% (19)
53.2% (331)
Away
45.0% (20)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Jankowski
P1
50.0%
52.7%
P2
66.7%
55.8%
P3
46.2%
52.5%
Final 5 min
36.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |