Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Duchene 51.8% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.3%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 59.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 57.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Jarnkrok
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
51.1% (366)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
16.7% (6)
+38.3%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Duchene
Home
63.2% (19)
51.7% (201)
Away
45.0% (20)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Duchene
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
66.7%
57.1%
P3
46.2%
49.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%