Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.3%). Jarnkrok wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 61.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
50.9% (913)
+2.8%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
59.0% (39)
-49.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
37.5% (160)
+12.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jarnkrok is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
Home
50.7% (71)
51.1% (536)
Away
47.5% (61)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
P1
52.1%
50.1%
P2
40.5%
47.3%
P3
56.1%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%