Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Jarnkrok leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Last 10: Jarnkrok 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
6
5
Jarnkrok
Bonino
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
4
2
Jarnkrok
Bonino
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
6
Jarnkrok
Bonino
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
54.1% (972)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
44.6% (1,693)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Bonino
Home
50.5% (2,262)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Bonino
P1
47.7%
50.6%
P2
48.0%
48.5%
P3
48.8%
51.1%
OT
40.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |