Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Foligno 46.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 60.2%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 92.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 86.8%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Last 6: Jarnkrok 5-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
46.3% (566)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
43.4% (106)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
46.4% (69)
-2.4%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jarnkrok is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Foligno is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Home
52.7% (241)
48.9% (364)
Away
50.0% (278)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Foligno
P1
49.4%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
46.9%
P3
51.9%
44.0%
OT
75.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.3%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |