Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Foligno 48.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Jarnkrok leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.5%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Last 10: Jarnkrok 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Jarnkrok
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
6
1
Jarnkrok
Foligno
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jarnkrok
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
48.3% (2,840)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
52.3% (731)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
44.0% (457)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Foligno
Home
50.5% (2,262)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Foligno
P1
47.7%
47.8%
P2
48.0%
50.5%
P3
48.8%
48.2%
OT
40.5%
29.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |