Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.6%). Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Sturm 53.6% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 61.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Jarnkrok
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
54.6% (271)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
54.4% (90)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Sturm
Home
63.2% (19)
53.0% (168)
Away
45.0% (20)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Sturm
P1
50.0%
58.2%
P2
66.7%
53.2%
P3
46.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
36.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%