Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 53.4%
Defensive zone
Nash 56.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Jarnkrok
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Jarnkrok
Nash
Last 10: Jarnkrok 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
4
Jarnkrok
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Jarnkrok
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
5
3
Jarnkrok
Nash
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
51.0% (249)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
44.9% (550)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,271).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Nash
Home
50.5% (2,262)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Nash
P1
47.7%
49.0%
P2
48.0%
47.9%
P3
48.8%
48.0%
OT
40.5%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Riley Nash |