Calle Jarnkrok vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.2%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
46.0% (250)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
31.8% (22)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
63.2% (19)
50.3% (175)
Away
45.0% (20)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
66.7%
45.9%
P3
46.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
36.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%