Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Jarnkrok
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (19)
58.7% (858)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
62.9% (35)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jarnkrok is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Home
63.2% (19)
60.1% (599)
Away
45.0% (20)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hertl
P1
50.0%
52.4%
P2
66.7%
63.9%
P3
46.2%
58.5%
Final 5 min
36.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
53.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%