Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 53.1%
Defensive zone
Jost 58.9%
Neutral zone
Jost 55.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Jarnkrok
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jarnkrok
Jost
Last 7: Jarnkrok 3-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
2
Jarnkrok
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
41.0% (1,977)
+8.3%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
34.7% (72)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
34.9% (249)
+5.3%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Jost is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Jost
Home
50.6% (2,253)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Jost
P1
47.8%
38.5%
P2
48.0%
41.2%
P3
48.8%
40.8%
OT
40.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |