Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 51.7%
Defensive zone
Jost 57.6%
Neutral zone
Jost 53.8%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Jarnkrok
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jarnkrok
Jost
Last 7: Jarnkrok 3-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
2
Jarnkrok
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Jarnkrok
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
41.0% (2,016)
+8.2%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
34.2% (73)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
35.2% (256)
+5.2%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Jost
Home
50.5% (2,262)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Jost
P1
47.7%
38.5%
P2
48.0%
41.1%
P3
48.8%
40.9%
OT
40.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |