Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 53.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
48.4% (4,987)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
57.4% (376)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
40.0% (555)
+0.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Home
50.5% (2,262)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gourde
P1
47.7%
49.8%
P2
48.0%
47.5%
P3
48.8%
47.5%
OT
40.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |