Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Smith 50.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Jarnkrok leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.7%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Jarnkrok
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Jarnkrok
Smith
Last 10: Jarnkrok 8-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
6
0
Jarnkrok
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
4
1
Jarnkrok
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.3%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
51.2% (342)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
45.3% (985)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Smith
Home
50.6% (2,253)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Smith
P1
47.8%
49.9%
P2
48.0%
50.0%
P3
48.8%
51.9%
OT
40.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |