Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Bedard 41.4% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 62.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 60.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 51.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Ritchie
Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
40.2% (1,635)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
51.8% (83)
-1.8%
On even strength, Bedard has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Bedard
Home
38.1% (168)
43.3% (785)
Away
34.9% (146)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Ritchie
Bedard
P1
33.7%
38.9%
P2
38.7%
41.2%
P3
37.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
39.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%