Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Bedard 46.5% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 56.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 62.1%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Ritchie
Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
44.2% (505)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
66.7% (36)
-21.2%
On power play, Bedard has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Bedard
Home
37.7% (162)
50.7% (223)
Away
35.2% (145)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Ritchie
Bedard
P1
33.3%
40.2%
P2
38.3%
49.2%
P3
37.6%
47.2%
Final 5 min
38.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%