Calum Ritchie vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ritchie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 56.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Last 5: Ritchie 3-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
3
1
Ritchie
Gaudreau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Ritchie
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
48.6% (3,770)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
53.9% (219)
-3.9%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,283).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Home
38.1% (168)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
34.9% (146)
47.8% (2,345)
By Period
Ritchie
Gaudreau
P1
33.7%
49.7%
P2
38.7%
47.3%
P3
37.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
39.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |