Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ritchie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Compher 51.3% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 81.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 61.3%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 60.8%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Ritchie
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ritchie
Compher
Last 6: Ritchie 2-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
2
1
Ritchie
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Ritchie
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Ritchie
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
53.1% (784)
-17.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
54.8% (31)
-9.3%
On even strength, Compher has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Compher
Home
37.7% (162)
51.3% (452)
Away
35.2% (145)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Ritchie
Compher
P1
33.3%
54.9%
P2
38.3%
49.0%
P3
37.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
38.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |