Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Marner 42.7% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 51.9%
Defensive zone
Marner 53.4%
Neutral zone
Marner 51.2%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Ritchie
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
41.7% (496)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
On even strength, Marner has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Marner is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Marner
Home
38.1% (168)
38.0% (321)
Away
34.9% (146)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Ritchie
Marner
P1
33.7%
38.7%
P2
38.7%
41.5%
P3
37.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
39.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%