Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Marner 42.5% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 51.2%
Defensive zone
Marner 54.4%
Neutral zone
Marner 52.5%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Ritchie
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
40.8% (316)
-4.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
40.0% (5)
+5.5%
On power play, Ritchie has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Marner is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Marner
Home
37.7% (162)
36.0% (186)
Away
35.2% (145)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Ritchie
Marner
P1
33.3%
40.7%
P2
38.3%
41.0%
P3
37.6%
38.6%
Final 5 min
38.8%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%