Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Hartman 45.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ritchie 68.3%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 51.7%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 56.9%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Ritchie
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Ritchie
Hartman
Last 10: Ritchie 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
1
0
Ritchie
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ritchie
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
5
Ritchie
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
45.2% (4,279)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
47.3% (446)
+2.7%
On even strength, Hartman has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Hartman
Home
38.1% (168)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
34.9% (146)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Ritchie
Hartman
P1
33.7%
46.1%
P2
38.7%
42.9%
P3
37.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
39.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |