Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.9% vs Strome 44.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 54.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Ritchie
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Ritchie
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
1
0
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Ritchie
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ritchie
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (302)
44.2% (6,887)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
49.2% (855)
+0.8%
On even strength, Strome has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ritchie is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Ritchie shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Strome
Home
38.1% (168)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
34.9% (146)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Ritchie
Strome
P1
33.7%
43.9%
P2
38.7%
45.4%
P3
37.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
39.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.6%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |