Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Jarvis 46.3% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 51.3%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 56.9%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 51.9%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Ritchie
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
42.6% (54)
-6.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
33.3% (6)
+12.2%
On power play, Ritchie has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Jarvis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Jarvis
Home
37.7% (162)
43.6% (39)
Away
35.2% (145)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Ritchie
Jarvis
P1
33.3%
36.0%
P2
38.3%
48.3%
P3
37.6%
36.8%
Final 5 min
38.8%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%