Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Atkinson wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 39.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Atkinson 60.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 73.3%
Neutral zone
Atkinson 51.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Atkinson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Atkinson
Stastny
Last 5: Atkinson 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Atkinson
2
0
Atkinson
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Atkinson
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (237)
54.6% (10,616)
-18.7%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
59.1% (1,994)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
52.9% (1,119)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Atkinson is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Atkinson shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Stastny
Home
37.3% (142)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
35.1% (148)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Atkinson
Stastny
P1
35.1%
56.3%
P2
33.8%
55.4%
P3
39.3%
53.5%
OT
42.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
32.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Cam Atkinson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Cam Atkinson |