Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 24 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 34-26 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 73.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 78.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 76.5%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Soderberg
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
34
(60 meetings)
26
34
Soderberg
Stastny
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
17
Soderberg
Stastny
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
13
6
Soderberg
Stastny
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
11
Soderberg
Stastny
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
52.9% (1,119)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Stastny
Home
50.2% (2,703)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Soderberg
Stastny
P1
47.4%
56.3%
P2
48.2%
55.4%
P3
48.1%
53.5%
OT
46.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |