Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Monahan 51.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 83.1%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 65.0%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Soderberg
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Soderberg
Monahan
Last 10: Soderberg 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
13
Soderberg
Monahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
9
8
Soderberg
Monahan
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
9
6
Soderberg
Monahan
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
53.6% (2,582)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
45.9% (772)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Monahan
Home
50.2% (2,703)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Soderberg
Monahan
P1
47.4%
51.0%
P2
48.2%
51.7%
P3
48.1%
51.0%
OT
46.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |