Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 36.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Ryan 54.9% (-11.1%)
Offensive zone
Rowney 59.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 59.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Rowney
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
60.2% (387)
-14.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.2% (118)
-26.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Rowney is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Rowney shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Rowney
Ryan
Home
46.5% (114)
56.7% (254)
Away
41.2% (51)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Rowney
Ryan
P1
50.0%
56.9%
P2
45.1%
51.7%
P3
39.6%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%