Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Larkin 52.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.4%
Defensive zone
Rowney 76.9%
Neutral zone
Rowney 62.0%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Rowney
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Rowney
Larkin
Last 8: Rowney 3-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Rowney
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Rowney
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
51.6% (9,056)
-2.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
58.6% (2,140)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
50.2% (1,124)
-1.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Home / Away
Rowney
Larkin
Home
50.4% (577)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
47.9% (560)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Rowney
Larkin
P1
50.1%
52.7%
P2
47.9%
53.1%
P3
49.3%
52.0%
OT
60.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |