Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Rowney 80.9%
Defensive zone
Rowney 75.1%
Neutral zone
Rowney 73.7%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Rowney
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Rowney
Staal
Last 10: Rowney 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
7
Rowney
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rowney
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Rowney
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
55.9% (14,654)
-6.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
62.7% (1,762)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
47.9% (2,907)
+0.7%
On power play, Staal has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Rowney
Staal
Home
50.4% (577)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
47.9% (560)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Rowney
Staal
P1
50.1%
55.2%
P2
47.9%
55.9%
P3
49.3%
54.8%
OT
60.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |