Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 74.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 68.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Rowney
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rowney
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
56.6% (1,064)
-10.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.4% (260)
-60.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
54.0% (261)
-37.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rowney is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Rowney shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Rowney
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (114)
54.9% (801)
Away
41.2% (51)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Rowney
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
45.1%
56.7%
P3
39.6%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |