Carter Verhaeghe vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Verhaeghe wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 45.3% vs Larkin 52.7% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 72.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.4%
Neutral zone
Verhaeghe 51.9%
Result
Carter Verhaeghe favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Last 10: Verhaeghe 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Verhaeghe
4
2
Verhaeghe
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Verhaeghe
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Verhaeghe
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (299)
51.6% (9,056)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.4% (64)
58.6% (2,140)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.2% (1,124)
+49.8%
On penalty kill, Verhaeghe has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Verhaeghe is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Larkin
Home
45.1% (164)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
43.0% (200)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Larkin
P1
45.2%
52.7%
P2
44.4%
53.1%
P3
42.3%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Carter Verhaeghe |