Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Coyle 50.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 82.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 58.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 73.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Cizikas
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cizikas
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
52.3% (853)
+2.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
44.4% (63)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
44.5% (191)
+2.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Coyle
Home
54.8% (301)
49.0% (567)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Cizikas
Coyle
P1
58.7%
49.5%
P2
56.1%
49.4%
P3
50.5%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |