Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Giroux 61.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 74.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 73.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Cizikas
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cizikas
Giroux
Last 6: Cizikas 1-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
2
Cizikas
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
3
Cizikas
Giroux
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
61.0% (420)
-6.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
66.4% (113)
+33.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
65.6% (163)
-19.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Cizikas is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Cizikas shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Giroux
Home
54.3% (291)
66.6% (350)
Away
54.8% (299)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Cizikas
Giroux
P1
58.3%
62.1%
P2
56.4%
64.7%
P3
49.8%
61.6%
OT
33.3%
69.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |