Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Mercer 39.9% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 52.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 91.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 75.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Cizikas
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
12
(26 meetings)
14
12
Cizikas
Mercer
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
7
Cizikas
Mercer
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
11
1
Cizikas
Mercer
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
4
Cizikas
Mercer
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
39.1% (1,412)
+14.4%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
41.1% (90)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
41.3% (46)
+3.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Mercer
Home
53.8% (5,529)
40.1% (756)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Cizikas
Mercer
P1
53.1%
38.2%
P2
51.1%
39.2%
P3
51.8%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |