Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Stepan 46.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 70-51 in 121 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 63.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 89.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Cizikas
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
70
-
51
(121 meetings)
70
51
Cizikas
Stepan
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
29
Cizikas
Stepan
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
32
6
Cizikas
Stepan
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
27
16
Cizikas
Stepan
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
46.5% (10,204)
+7.0%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
48.8% (1,593)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
44.2% (1,368)
+0.2%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stepan
Home
53.8% (5,529)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Cizikas
Stepan
P1
53.1%
47.5%
P2
51.1%
45.6%
P3
51.8%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |