Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Brassard 50.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 71.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 66.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 54.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Cizikas
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
2
Cizikas
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
49.6% (230)
+6.8%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
53.8% (26)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
50.0% (30)
-9.4%
On power play, Brassard has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Brassard
Home
55.0% (473)
51.7% (143)
Away
51.7% (466)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Cizikas
Brassard
P1
54.9%
46.4%
P2
50.8%
50.6%
P3
54.5%
53.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |