Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Stafford 48.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 91.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.5%
Neutral zone
Stafford 76.3%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Cizikas
Stafford
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cizikas
Stafford
Last 6: Cizikas 1-5 Stafford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
0
5
Cizikas
Stafford
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Stafford
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stafford
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
50.1% (571)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
49.2% (189)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
34.2% (79)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stafford shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Stafford is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stafford
Home
53.8% (5,529)
50.4% (452)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
45.9% (388)
By Period
Cizikas
Stafford
P1
53.1%
50.0%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
51.8%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |