Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Minten 48.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 64.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 81.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Cizikas
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Minten
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Minten
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Minten
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
49.6% (651)
+5.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
48.0% (50)
+52.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
35.6% (45)
+10.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Minten
Home
54.8% (301)
52.4% (349)
Away
54.8% (299)
45.3% (397)
By Period
Cizikas
Minten
P1
58.7%
45.4%
P2
56.1%
47.1%
P3
50.5%
52.3%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |