Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Hughes 40.3% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 90.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 79.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Cizikas
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cizikas
Hughes
Last 7: Cizikas 4-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Cizikas
Hughes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
35.6% (281)
+18.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (36)
+50.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hughes
Home
58.6% (307)
38.4% (198)
Away
48.7% (339)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Cizikas
Hughes
P1
56.7%
44.3%
P2
49.8%
34.2%
P3
53.8%
34.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |