Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Quillan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Quillan 45.8% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 82.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 83.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Cizikas
Quillan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Quillan
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Quillan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Quillan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Quillan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Quillan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Quillan
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
42.9% (105)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
33.3% (9)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Quillan shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Quillan is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Quillan
Home
54.8% (301)
45.5% (55)
Away
54.8% (299)
39.0% (59)
By Period
Cizikas
Quillan
P1
58.7%
37.2%
P2
56.1%
40.6%
P3
50.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Quillan
44.0%▲
42.1%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |