Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 75.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 80.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Cizikas
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
20
(37 meetings)
17
20
Cizikas
Thornton
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
11
Cizikas
Thornton
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
5
Cizikas
Thornton
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
4
Cizikas
Thornton
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
53.5% (6,640)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
57.2% (1,387)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
56.7% (427)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thornton
Home
53.8% (5,529)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Cizikas
Thornton
P1
53.1%
55.0%
P2
51.1%
53.3%
P3
51.8%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |