Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Toews 60.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 77.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 65.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Cizikas
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cizikas
Toews
Last 8: Cizikas 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Cizikas
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Cizikas
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
62.6% (728)
-7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.4% (143)
+40.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
46.9% (32)
-0.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Toews
Home
54.3% (291)
61.1% (455)
Away
54.8% (299)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Cizikas
Toews
P1
58.3%
59.7%
P2
56.4%
66.7%
P3
49.8%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |