Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.6%). Cizikas wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Stenlund 54.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 68.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Cizikas
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
56.2% (650)
-1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.2% (47)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
51.6% (312)
-5.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Cizikas is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Cizikas shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stenlund
Home
54.3% (291)
56.9% (483)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Cizikas
Stenlund
P1
58.3%
54.2%
P2
56.4%
53.2%
P3
49.8%
56.9%
OT
33.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |