Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pederson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pederson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Pederson 49.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 68.2%
Defensive zone
Pederson 62.1%
Neutral zone
Pederson 64.0%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Cizikas
Pederson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Pederson
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Pederson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Pederson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Pederson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pederson
0
3
Cizikas
Pederson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pederson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
48.1% (27)
+7.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pederson shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Pederson is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pederson
Home
54.8% (301)
44.4% (9)
Away
54.8% (299)
50.0% (18)
By Period
Cizikas
Pederson
P1
58.7%
60.0%
P2
56.1%
42.9%
P3
50.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |