Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pederson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pederson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Pederson 49.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 67.7%
Defensive zone
Pederson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Pederson 63.5%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Cizikas
Pederson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Pederson
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Pederson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Pederson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Pederson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pederson
0
3
Cizikas
Pederson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pederson
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
48.1% (27)
+6.9%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pederson shoots right. Cizikas is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Cizikas shoots left. Pederson is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pederson
Home
54.3% (291)
44.4% (9)
Away
54.8% (299)
50.0% (18)
By Period
Cizikas
Pederson
P1
58.3%
60.0%
P2
56.4%
42.9%
P3
49.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |