Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 71.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Cizikas
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
46.5% (919)
+8.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
48.7% (187)
+51.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
50.0% (54)
-3.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Scheifele
Home
54.8% (301)
46.6% (605)
Away
54.8% (299)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Cizikas
Scheifele
P1
58.7%
52.3%
P2
56.1%
45.3%
P3
50.5%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |