Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Duchene 51.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 64.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 56.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Cizikas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cizikas
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
51.1% (366)
+4.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
61.5% (65)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
16.7% (6)
+29.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Duchene
Home
54.8% (301)
51.7% (201)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Cizikas
Duchene
P1
58.7%
49.0%
P2
56.1%
57.1%
P3
50.5%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |