Casey Cizikas vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs McCarron 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 91.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 54.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 73.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Cizikas
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
McCarron
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
52.8% (697)
+2.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
18.2% (11)
+81.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
52.6% (211)
-6.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +81.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cizikas is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Cizikas shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Cizikas
McCarron
Home
54.3% (291)
52.8% (477)
Away
54.8% (299)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Cizikas
McCarron
P1
58.3%
56.2%
P2
56.4%
52.4%
P3
49.8%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |